![]() Incomplete/improper integration of societal values with the risk assessment and/or unclear decision rules We present a summary of these criticisms with supporting citations in Table 1. ![]() NRA processes and the NRR outputs have been criticized on other grounds in a wide range of writings. ![]() Furthermore, recent analysis has argued that a consequence-uncertainty (C,U) definition of risk is more valid and useful when characterizing global and national risks than the (C,P) representation (Aven, 2017, 2020), and it is notable that uncertainty (and the strength of knowledge it is based upon) is not fully captured in many NRA/NRRs. There may be lack of public engagement and awareness of the NRA/NRR (Hiscock & Jones, 2017), or the NRA itself is classified (Boyd & Wilson, 2021). However, this common practice of presenting a two-dimensional risk matrix often obscures uncertainties, stakeholder disagreements on values, bias, and systemic errors (Mamuji & Etkin, 2019). Darker colors (purple, red, orange) represent more salient risks than lighter colors (yellow, green, blue). The risk matrix is a two-dimensional communication tool that “represents risk,” often while attempting to avoid spurious precision about probability or impact by placing risks in categories (see Figure 1).Ī probability-impact risk matrix. A majority of OECD countries performing NRA communicate results in some form of national risk register (NRR) and/or consequence-probability (C,P) risk matrix (OECD, 2017). The focus is short-term (less than 5 years) so that resources are “not wasted” (OECD, 2017). NRAs tend to exclude risks with low probability and have not usually been intended as an exhaustive register of all civil emergencies although lists of “risks under review” may be maintained, as in the United Kingdom (Stock & Wentworth, 2019), and Switzerland maintains a “Hazard Catalog” from which hazards are selected for further analysis in NRAs (FOCP, 2020). NRA processes, such as those of the Netherlands (Veland et al., 2013) and the United Kingdom (Stock & Wentworth, 2019) involve development of risk scenarios of national significance, which are then evaluated in terms of their multicriteria impact and multicomponent likelihood. The process is typically demanding, complex, multidisciplinary, and cross-sectoral. NRA often takes an all-hazards approach assessing natural hazards, infectious diseases, industrial accidents, terrorist attacks, labor strikes, cyberattacks, organized crime or the failure of institutions (OECD, 2017). Many countries undertake the process of national risk assessment (NRA) to evaluate risks of national significance (OECD, 2017 Poljanšek et al., 2019). The most important factors for an “all hazards” approach to NRA are ensuring license for key assumptions and that all the salient risks are included before proceeding to ranking of risks and considering resource allocation and value. We outline the first component of such a tool for communication and exploration of risks and assumptions. We advocate for a deliberative public tool that can support informed two-way communication between stakeholders and governments. Widespread engagement with an informed public and experts would legitimize key assumptions, encourage critique of knowledge, and ease shortcomings of NRAs. We highlight the substantial uncertainty inherent in NRAs and argue that this is reason for more engagement with stakeholders and experts. Under a highly conservative approach that considers only simple probability and impact metrics, the use of significant discount rates, and harms only to those currently alive at the time, we find these risks have likely salience far greater than their omission from national risk registers might suggest. We then identify a neglected set of large-scale risks that are seldom included in NRAs, namely global catastrophic risks and existential threats to humanity. Using a demonstration set of risks, we illustrate how NRA process assumptions around time horizon, discount rate, scenario choice, and decision rule impact on risk characterization and therefore any subsequent ranking. Two key shortcomings of national risk assessments (NRAs) are: (1) lack of justification and transparency around important foundational assumptions of the process, (2) omission of almost all the largest scale risks.
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Viewers interested in watching the AFROPUNK Brooklyn stream can follow for a real-time festival experience. The struggle sessions largely ended after Mao died in 1976, which also ended the 10-year 'Cultural Revolution,' a sort of nationwide struggle session so violent it killed untold numbers and. ![]() Tune in for the episode on 8/25 at 4:30pm PT/7:30pm ET, to join AFROPUNK on the road to Brooklyn. Twitch all-time concurrent viewers record (Picture: Sony) PlayStation 5 Reveal - 6.1 million - 11th June 2020 Fortnite The Device Event - 4.7 million - 15th June 2020 Valorant Closed Beta - 4. Hosted by Diana Doowop, Chozan Behn, and Aaron Sanford, and with live music by Chozan Behn and Thunderous Knight, the “HELLLOOO BROOKLYN!!!!” episode will offer exclusive announcements, interactive elements, giveaways, and much more. When it comes to streaming, Twitch is holding some of the biggest records in the world, so lets see some of them. It’s a constant work in progress, the former Ellen show DJ said. Titled “ HELLLOOO BROOKLYN!!!! ,” the pre-show will provide an inside look and first impression of what’s in store for AFROPUNK Brooklyn 2022. Stephen tWitch Boss shared an uplifting message about overcoming hardships five years before he tragically died by suicide. Prior to the festival, AFROPUNK will host a pre-shows on Twitch. Live show tonight at 10PM EST on /strugglesession Special guest writer Kate Shapiro Struggle Session 1 Tonight, special guest Kate Shapiro will be on to talk about her satirical work of fiction Kill The Rich ( ). In recent weeks, creators like PewDiePie, H3H3’s Ethan Klein and Twitch’s Lirik have talked about the challenges they face because of mental health issues and burnout. Notable big names on the lineup include Lucky Daye, Freddie Gibbs, Tierra Whack, and Earl Sweatshirt, who performs at his first AFROPUNK since reuniting with Tyler, The Creator and Syd at AFROPUNK 2016. RELATED: AFROPUNK Reveals Lineup of Talented DJs Who'll Be Spinning at AFROPUNK Brooklyn 2022īeyond the headliners, AFROPUNK Brooklyn brings a group of game-changing artists looking to make a statement at AFROPUNK. ![]() This gives us a massive multiplier to our Super Critical Hits, which can result in an extra couple million damage and can save you the battle if you get lucky enough. Grab Merciless in the Agility tree and max it. Use it whenever you are able to as you have a chance to cut the battle in half if you get a mega variation of it. This is our main damage source and the reason we are able to win this fight. Take Omnisoul at the bottom and max it out. Shielding us helps monumentally with this phase of the boss. ![]() In the second phase of fight, you'll notice that one of her abilities can one-shot you if you aren't careful. Shield is necessary as we need some form of damage mitigation. This allows both your heal and shield to have a chance to translate to your allies, which helps with sustaining the fight. You can tinker with what exactly you'd like but I would highly recommend having both Altruism and Shield in the Defense tree. Lastly, Master to boost our main damage source. Captain and Stone for the increased chance of mega variations for abilities. Tamer for extra survivability on our Turgon, allowing him to tank much longer. We use Soulcery for the obvious damage increase with our abilities. You can mix-and-match which rings you truly like but I beat Primordial with these rings: Not to mention their super and mega counterparts. It also buffs the damage we get from Soulcery skills like Fireball and Lightning, which already have built-in damage buffs. The reason we choose Soulcery is because it has the highest damage without needing equipment. Purchase it and you'll have to play these notes four times with the corresponding beast to tame them. It's very cheap and, again, given to you almost immediately after starting the game. In order to actually tame these pets, you must purchase the flute from the market. You will need to get to chapter six to achieve all the pets but many are given to you pretty early on. The notes are present on the map and the lines will correspond with the areas on the map where you can find the beasts. Still having trouble? I've created a world map where you can find all of them at the bottom of this section. It will show all of the enemies that you've killed, including the animals that are currently able to be tamed. If you are missing them, you can view them in the third cave present in the Museum. However, there are variations that need to be tamed. Requires a 64-bit processor and operating system OS: Windows 7/8 Processor: Quad Core 2.There are eleven pets in total. Features of Swords & Souls Neverseen: #Īddictive and evolving training minigames to train your character’s stats A fast-paced blend of real-time and turn-based combat Face hordes of enemies across the Neverseen and its wild environments Tame pets and meet colorful mercenaries, both to fight beside you Your ranged weapon is used as a secondary weapon in battle, as well as your spells. They all have different positives and negatives. Speaking of weapons, you actually have a nice selection of melees to choose from. In another part of town, you can spend money at a blacksmith to upgrade your current tier of weapons. You can also invest money into your training grounds to permanently increase the stat boosts you get from training. They all make sense with the stat that they are boosting, and although simple, can be quite fun to play. The training mini games can be pretty fun. The game is all about repetition, but it rewards you with constant upgrades to keep you going. To stop the witch, you’ll need to train, fight, train, and fight some more in this addictive single-player combat-focused game that rewards player skill and juicy progression. In Swords & Souls: Neverseen you find yourself shipwrecked and caught up in a struggle between a dangerous witch and some decidedly kooky townsfolk. The game is excellent, develops a reaction, evokes nostalgia for that same flash drive, because this is it, only modified to a full-fledged game.įrom SoulGame Studio, creators of the wildly popular Swords & Souls, comes an all new, even bigger standalone adventure to an island far across the sea. Swords & Souls Neverseen PC Game 2019 Overview: ![]() “You always want to be polite, even if it’s a quick email that you’re sending out,” Yurovsky says. If you’re sending a follow-up note after a two-hour board meeting or a deep-dive strategy session, it’ll look a little different. ![]() If you’re coming out of a standard monthly team meeting or a relatively quick and routine project update meeting, your email can reflect that in its length. But even the scope of the email depends on the meeting. Leonardi urges you to keep it short and sweet. Inviting people to ask questions or reconvene.Attaching or linking to any relevant resources and documents.Outlining action items and owners as well as deadlines for these next steps.Summarizing any key points covered or discussed during the meeting.Thanking people for their time and effort.Or “it can be clarifying roles and direction in a particular project or the subsequent action steps that need to be taken and who’s supposed to take them.”Īs a general guideline, think about doing some or all of the following: “If there was an issue or a challenge that was being dealt with and the meeting resolved that issue or challenge, it can be kind of like a thank you and self congratulatory,” she explains. But what exactly goes into it to make that happen “depends on the nature of the meeting and what is the intention, what is the goal?” Leonardi says. “The purpose of the email is getting everyone on the same page,” says Muse career coach Kristina Leonardi. If you know in advance that you’ll be the one tackling this item, you can even plan ahead by blocking off time on your calendar right after the meeting to get it done. In other words, consider the recap an extension of the meeting and send it off while the discussion is still fresh in your mind and everyone else’s. “If the meeting’s at the end of the day and you want to wait until first thing the next morning, that’s fine, but the closer you are to the meeting, the more momentum is created and it doesn’t start to fall to the bottom of people’s piles.” “It’s best to send the recap as close to coming out of the meeting as possible,” Yurovsky says. Finally, if you’re dealing with more senior colleagues, consider copying their assistants. Then think about whether there’s anyone you realized should have been in on the meeting as well as any other stakeholders who need to take action or have visibility on the topic. Make sure you’re sending your note to all the meeting participants, including anyone who was on the invite list but perhaps wasn’t able to attend. Once the “from” field is settled, it’s time to think about the “to” and “cc” fields. ![]() You’re not calling anyone out to put it on them, but you’re also giving other people the opportunity to say, ‘Oh no, I think it actually needs to come from Joe.’” “At the end of the meeting, if it’s not abundantly clear who’s responsible for it and you feel equipped to send that email afterward, then raise your hand and say, ‘Hey, happy to send out the post-meeting email, unless there’s anyone else that feels like it’s more appropriate to come from them,’” Yurovsky says. If it’s a more ambiguous situation, think about whether it makes sense for you to step up to the task. “You just want to make sure you don’t come off like you’re barking orders at other people and that it really comes from the right person that people are going to listen to and respect the ownership and deadline.” “Usually it’s clear at the end of the meeting who’s responsible, but sometimes it’s not, especially if it’s maybe a new project that no one department technically owns yet,” Yurovsky says. If you organized the meeting, created the agenda, and ran the thing, then chances are you should be the one closing the loop with a post-meeting missive. But how do you know if you’re the one who should be sending it? Okay, maybe you’re all in on the idea of a follow-up email. Read on for everything you need to know about sending the perfect post-meeting email-so that you’re never responsible for thwarting progress on whatever it is you were meeting about. “Nobody likes feeling like they sat in a meeting that had good momentum and then nothing happens afterwards.” So you have a team on the same page working toward the same goals, which keeps things efficient and productive and also keeps frustrations down,” says Heather Yurovsky, a Muse career coach and the founder of Shatter & Shine. “The overarching purpose is that it holds everybody accountable to the same expectations. But there’s a simple solution: the post-meeting email. Then, sign up for our newsletter and we’ll deliver advice on landing the job right to you.Įven if matters aren’t so extreme-maybe you had a stimulating and engaging conversation-it’s still disappointing if nothing seems to come out of it. SEARCH OPEN JOBS ON THE MUSE! See who’s hiring here, and you can even filter your search by benefits, company size, remote opportunities, and more. ![]() Adobe InDesign Brochure Templates for Fashion (INDD) The template was designed in both A4 and US Letter size. This cool brochure template for InDesign has 24 pages, so you can provide detailed information about your business and include a strong call to action. Company Brochure Template for InDesign (INDD) If you want a creative alternative to a free template of a brochure, give this one a try. You can easily add your own photos and customize colors and fonts to your liking. Use it to promote your health practice as well as any health-related product. ![]() This InDesign brochure template is a great choice if you’re in the medical and health industry. Medical InDesign Brochure Templates (INDD) Take a look at some of the best InDesign brochure templates from Envato Elements. You can download as many templates as you need for one low monthly price and customize them to your needs. If you need InDesign brochure templates and other design assets regularly, Envato Elements is a great choice. Best Premium Brochure InDesign Templates From Envato Elements But, if you’re on a budget, a free template of a brochure could help you get started with promoting your business. If you want your brochure to have a polished and professional look, a premium template is a better choice than free InDesign brochure templates. Premium InDesign brochure templates have more features and customization options than brochure templates available for free download. While stacked with pro design features, they're also quick and easy to work with.Įxplore Modern Brochure Templates for InDesign Download Unlimited Premium InDesign Brochure Templates on Envato Elementsĭiscover tons of professional Adobe InDesign brochure templates on Envato Elements, with a great offer: download as many as you want for one low price.Įach of these top InDesign brochure designs from Envato Elements has tons of professional and creative design options. In this post, we’ll share the best free brochure templates for InDesign from around the web so you can make a brochure and start promoting your business.īefore we dive into free InDesign brochure templates, let’s look at some of the premium brochure designs. But, thanks to free brochure templates, you don’t have to start from scratch. If you’ve never made a brochure before, the process of designing one from scratch may seem daunting. Interior Brochure Template, a premium template from Envato Elements It’s a versatile marketing piece that you can use to promote your business or a line of products as well as to promote the launch of a new product. A brochure is one of the best and most cost-effective ways to promote your business. ![]() Firstly, sailing at higher speeds when surfing down a wave gives your rudder movement greater impact in terms of direction change. The faster you sail downwind in waves, though, the more technique is required to reach your destination safely. You don’t have to go back too many years before 8 knots was the maximum many boats would be likely to see.’ ![]() ‘These days double digits downwind are not uncommon and even high teens are fairly regularly seen. ‘If you take a fairly modern boat, they all tend to be easier to sail downwind in big waves for a couple of reasons, but one of the key reasons is that they are able to achieve higher sustained speeds downwind,’ says Neil Mackley of North Sails. Usually in these sort of extreme conditions, slower tends to feel safer but it is something we should all be trying to do in a following sea, to reduce the chance of broaching or being rolled. Typically it feels counterintuitive when sailing in big waves to want to speed up. The ‘speed is your friend’ attitude can be difficult to get your head around. So although size is key, when sailing with waves, speed is very much your friend, too, as the energy transfer will be reduced when you are travelling at pace.’ ‘It’s really all about the wave energy transfer and the object that the energy is being transferred through, in this case, the boat. ‘To take that to an extreme, if you think about an oil tanker in the middle of an ocean, a wave that would barely wet the deck for her would be something big enough to roll a cruising yacht. ‘Fairly obviously, the bigger the boat you sail the less of a problem waves generally are,’ say Merfyn Owen of Owen Clark Yacht Design, himself a double Cape Horner and former BT Global Challenge skipper with over 250,000 miles under his belt. Understanding how to set up your boat for sailing in waves, to take advantage of them or ameliorate their worst traits is a skill that it is well worth understanding and practising in order to make your sailing more enjoyable, and to give you the confidence to sail in a wider range of conditions. However, it can also mean a thrilling surfing ride to your destination. “We don’t have federal funds or state funds or county funds to do a project down there to solve those problems, so the answer is either let them fall, or find some method to remove them, or find funding to do beach nourishment to protect them all those efforts are ongoing, but they are not successful yet.Sailing in waves can make for a jarring, juddering experience and long, uncomfortable passages and at worst, a dangerous, boat-rolling hazard. “We don’t have funds available,” Outten said from outside his county office in Manteo. There’s no money left over after Dare County spent around $72 million last year for much of the county. ![]() The only solution we have available to us is to do some type of beach nourishment down there.”īut there’s a big, multi-million dollar issue at play. “We don’t like the houses going in, but there are a few more in peril, and we are likely to have more. “We are concerned,” said Dare County manager Bobby Outten. ![]() It’s another example of how beach nourishment is essential for Rodanthe, and how it is greatly lacking. Two collapsed on the same day back in May. The house collapse is just about a mile north from Ocean Drive, the site of several collapses last year in the Outer Banks. (WAVY) – The house at 23228 East Point Drive in Rodanthe collapsed into the Atlantic Ocean from pounding surf and wind around noon Monday. ![]() Nikki describes her as a "human Wikipedia." Zoey is the 7th most unpopular girl in the school. 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